John Humphrey / Hubert Schmitz
China - growth engine or obstacle for Asian developing economies?
Pages 50 – 66
Over the last 30 years, changes in the East and Southeast Asian region have been fast
and deep. China is the growth engine of a new regional production system which in turn has provoked
changes in many other parts of the world. For its own fast growth, China has relied heavily
on importing intermediate products from neighbouring countries, but this is changing with China
now producing more of its own inputs and occupying also the more skill intensive parts of the
value chain. Some countries in the region trade relatively little with China, but the trade itself may
undermine long-term growth prospects. The paper analyses these trade impacts, distinguishing
between groups of countries and products. It shows that China´s growth augments opportunities
for some but pulls others into a race to the bottom.
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